DBRS Morningstar: Big Six Banks Withstanding Office Declines
Canada’s Big Six banks can withstand declines in the office real estate market, says a new DBRS Morningstar commentary
The global credit ratings agency reiterated its general negative outlook for office properties in Canada and the U.S. But Canadian banks have prudently limited new lending in the office space and are closely monitoring and increasing provisions from credit losses on existing commercial real estate loans, says DBRS Morningstar.
“Conservative underwriting should help mitigate potential credit risks, with generally low loan-to-value levels at origination providing a buffer against collateral value risk,” states the report. “DBRS Morningstar remains cautious that these lenders will likely experience deterioration in their office portfolios; however, any losses that do materialize, especially given office property valuations in parts of the U.S., should be manageable given the relatively small size of office portfolios at these banks.”
The Big Six banks’ total office exposure was $51 billion in the third quarter of 2023, representing just 1.2% of total loans and acceptances on average.
Monte Stewart serves as Content Director - Canada for Connect Commercial Real Estate.
Based in Vancouver, British Columbia, Monte provides daily news coverage of major Canadian commercial real estate markets, including Vancouver, Toronto, Montreal and Calgary. He has written about the real estate sector for various media outlets and Avison Young since the early 2000s.
In addition, he has covered sports, general news and business for several leading wire services and publications, including The Canadian Press, The Associated Press, The Calgary Herald, The Globe and Mail, Research Money, The Daily Oil Bulletin, Natural Gas World and The Toronto Star.
Monte is active in his community as a youth basketball coach and raises funds for such charitable causes as Movember.